Saskatchewan Roughriders (8-6) Week 18 Preview vs Calgary Stampeders (7-8): Prediction, Depth Chart, Injuries, Odds

Mark Perry
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Saskatchewan Roughriders (8-6) Week 18 Preview vs Calgary Stampeders (7-8): Prediction, Depth Chart, Injuries, Odds
CFL.ca

The Riders host a Stampeders team playing spoiler with a season series on the line at Mosaic Stadium.

Game Details

Odds

  • Spread: Saskatchewan Roughriders -6
  • Moneyline: Saskatchewan Roughriders -250, Calgary Stampeders +200
  • Over/Under: 62

Saskatchewan sits 6-5-3 against the spread this season while Calgary is a shaky 5-9-1 ATS. The total has gone the other way for each club — Riders games have stayed under seven times, while Stampeders games have cleared the number a league-high 12 times.

Overview

This is a rivalry game with real teeth. Calgary can flip the season series with a win of four points or more after Saskatchewan escaped Week 3's meeting 40-37 in double overtime, and the Stamps know a win here pulls them back to .500 for the first time since Week 9 — tying BC for second in the West. The Riders, meanwhile, are trying to stop the bleeding after back-to-back losses to Winnipeg and BC dropped them into a flat-footed tie with the Lions at 8-6. Calgary arrives red hot in the box score if not in the standings. The Stamps have won two straight over Ottawa, scoring 40-plus points for the sixth time this year, and Vernon Adams Jr. just threw for 422 yards with three touchdowns to three different targets. Jalen Philpot crossed 1,000 receiving yards for the first time in his career doing it, part of a three-man 100-yard receiving trio that hadn't happened for this franchise since 2011. That said, racking up points against Ottawa's defense is a different animal than doing it in Regina, where Saskatchewan leads the league in time of possession at 31:30 a game and ranks first in big plays allowed. History leans hard toward Calgary in this building and in this month — the Stamps are 14-3 against Saskatchewan in October since 2010 and have won six straight at Mosaic Stadium, including last year's 24-10 result. But this Riders team has the better recent defensive numbers and the superior remaining schedule outlook, and at home with a two-touchdown moneyline cushion, the number says Regina still finds a way. Give the edge to the Roughriders, but don't expect it to be comfortable.

Key Players

  • Trevor Harris (Saskatchewan Roughriders, QB) — 4,421 passing yards and 25 touchdowns this year, though he's 4-13-2 lifetime against Calgary and will need a cleaner outing than his one-TD Week 17 effort.
  • KeeSean Johnson (Saskatchewan Roughriders, WR) — Leads the Riders with 1,178 receiving yards and just posted nine catches for 119 yards against BC; he needs five catches to hit 100 on the season.
  • Vernon Adams Jr. (Calgary Stampeders, QB) — Threw for 779 yards and five touchdowns over his last two games and sits 6-3 in his career against Saskatchewan.
  • Jalen Philpot (Calgary Stampeders, WR) — Fresh off his first 1,000-yard season as a pro, with 15 catches for 245 yards and a score over his last two outings.
  • James Vaughters (Saskatchewan Roughriders, DL) — Leads the Riders defensive front with 7 sacks and needs to generate pressure with Derick Roberson sidelined.

Keys to the Game

  • Control the clock like they have all season — Saskatchewan's 31:30 time-of-possession average is tops in the CFL, and keeping Adams off the field is the surest way to slow Calgary's firepower.
  • Win the turnover battle; Calgary has protected the ball better lately but the Riders' defense still needs takeaways to offset a Stamps offense averaging big chunks through the air.
  • Find a way to finally beat the October jinx at home — Saskatchewan hasn't beaten Calgary at Mosaic Stadium since well before this current six-game skid began.

Injury Report

PlayerTeamStatus
Tevaughn Campbell (DB)Saskatchewan RoughridersQuestionable
Quali Conley (RB)Saskatchewan RoughridersAvailable
Jermarcus Hardrick (OL)Saskatchewan RoughridersAvailable
Trevor Harris (QB)Saskatchewan RoughridersAvailable
James Letcher Jr. (WR)Saskatchewan RoughridersOut
Benoit Marion (DL)Saskatchewan RoughridersAvailable
Derick Roberson (DL)Saskatchewan RoughridersOut
Daniel Wiebe (WR)Saskatchewan RoughridersAvailable
Josh Woods (LB)Saskatchewan RoughridersAvailable

Depth Chart

Saskatchewan Roughriders starters by position, built from the official current-week depth chart. This is a projected lineup and may not reflect last-minute changes.

PositionSaskatchewan Roughriders
QBTrevor Harris, Jack Coan, Tommy Stevens
RBA.J. Ouellette, Quali Conley, Thomas Bertrand-Hudon
FBAlbert Awachie
WR (boundary)KeeSean Johnson
WR (field)Daniel Wiebe, Dylan Djete
SBKian Schaffer-Baker, Johnny Johnson III, Dhel Duncan-Busby
LTPayton Collins
LGZack Fry, Daniel Johnson
CLogan Ferland
RGJacob Brammer
RTJermarcus Hardrick
DEAaron Patrick, Habakkuk Baldonado (weak); Benoit Marion, Jaylen Pate, James Vaughters (strong)
DTAli Saad, Mike Rose, Caleb Sanders
WLBRyder Varga, Josh Woods, Aubrey Miller Jr.
MLBDavid Gbenda, Jameer Thurman
SLBMelique Straker, Antoine Brooks Jr.
CBJames Burgess Jr. (weak); Kerfalla Exumé, Malcolm Bell (strong)
HBJonathan Edouard, Marcus Sayles, DaMarcus Fields
FSNelson Lokombo
KDawson Hodge
POscar Chapman
LSMike Benson

Score Prediction

Saskatchewan Roughriders 34 - Calgary Stampeders 28. The Riders' home crowd and league-best time-of-possession numbers tilt a high-scoring, shootout-style rivalry game their way, even with Calgary's history of torching Mosaic Stadium — Harris and Johnson find enough big plays late to hold off a Vernon Adams Jr. comeback bid.

CFL Standings | Full Schedule | League Leaders

Who takes this one? Drop your prediction in the comments.

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