Chad Kelly and a suddenly rolling Argos offense get a shot at revenge against the West's best team, at home, with the East picture hanging in the balance.
Game Details
- Matchup: Toronto Argonauts vs Edmonton Elks
- When: Saturday, September 19 at 3:00 PM ET
- Where: BMO Field, Toronto, ON
- TV: TSN
- Stream: Watch live on CFL+
Odds
- Spread: Edmonton Elks -2
- Moneyline: Toronto Argonauts +100, Edmonton Elks -120
- Over/Under: 62
Toronto sits at 6-6-1 against the spread this season with five overs and eight unders, while Edmonton has been the sharper side at 7-5 ATS with six overs and seven unders. A tight number like this suggests Vegas thinks it's close — even if the recent head-to-head says otherwise.
Overview
This is about as big as a Week 16 game gets. The Edmonton Elks roll into BMO Field at 10-3, tied atop the league with Montreal and riding a four-game winning streak that includes a 53-16 demolition of Calgary last week. The Toronto Argonauts are 7-6 and have won two straight of their own, surviving a scare from winless Ottawa 26-23 before that beating up on Hamilton twice around the Labour Day Classic. Toronto's clinging to fifth in a stacked West-East cross-section of the standings, and every win now matters with the crossover math still very much alive.
The last time these two teams met, it was ugly — Edmonton hung 42 points on Toronto back in Week 11, part of a run where the Elks haven't lost since. Cody Fajardo is 6-7 in his career against Toronto and will make his 100th career start this weekend sitting at 59-39-1, needing just 219 yards to crack the 4,000-yard mark for the second time in his career. But history at BMO Field tells a different story than the head-to-head this year — Toronto has won three straight there against Edmonton and sits a perfect 3-0 at home in 2026. That venue trend is the biggest thing working in the Argos' favor here.
Give Edmonton the edge on paper. They've scored at least 22 points in five straight and their defense, anchored by Tyrell Ford's league-leading six interceptions, has been suffocating during the streak. But Toronto's offense has completely changed shape since that Week 11 blowout. Chad Kelly is coming off a 443-yard eruption against Ottawa, his fourth 400-yard game of the season, and David Ungerer III is riding a career-high 175-yard performance and sits 149 yards from his first 1,000-yard season. If Kelly's arm shows up the way it has the last month, this is a game Toronto can win outright — not just cover.
Key Players
- Chad Kelly (Toronto Argonauts, QB) — Sitting at 325-of-454 for 4,404 yards and 29 TDs, and he's thrown for 400-plus yards four times this year, including last week's 443-yard outburst against Ottawa.
- Cody Fajardo (Edmonton Elks, QB) — Making his 100th career start with a 59-39-1 record and needing 219 yards for his second career 4,000-yard season; he's a perfect 4-1 in his last five starts.
- David Ungerer III (Toronto Argonauts, WR) — Coming off a career-high 175-yard game, he needs just 149 yards to hit 1,000 for the first time and could play his 100th career game this weekend.
- Tyrell Ford (Edmonton Elks, DB) — Leads the entire CFL with six interceptions, and he'll be lurking every time Kelly tries to push the ball downfield.
- Damonte Coxie (Toronto Argonauts, WR) — Toronto's top target with 65 catches for 1,083 yards and six touchdowns, and he practiced fully all week after being limited early with a knee issue.
Keys to the Game
- Toronto has to win the trenches enough to give Kelly time — Edmonton's Noah Taylor has a sack in four straight games and can wreck a game plan in a hurry.
- The Argos secondary needs to avoid the big mistakes that turned Week 11 into a laugher; Fajardo and Austin Mack will test them deep early.
- Lean on the home crowd and the home-field trend — Toronto's 3-0 at BMO Field this season and has beaten Edmonton there three straight years running.
Injury Report
| Player | Team | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Damonte Coxie (WR) | Toronto Argonauts | Available |
| Owen Goss (LB) | Toronto Argonauts | Out |
| Jordan Herdman-Reed (LB) | Toronto Argonauts | Available |
| Ryan Hunter (OL) | Toronto Argonauts | Available |
| Chad Kelly (QB) | Toronto Argonauts | Available |
| Kendall Randolph (OL) | Toronto Argonauts | Available |
| Rush Reimer (OL) | Toronto Argonauts | Out |
| Alex Teubner (DB) | Toronto Argonauts | Available |
| Nolan Ulm (WR) | Toronto Argonauts | Out |
Depth Chart
Toronto Argonauts starters by position, built from the official Week 16 depth chart. This table covers the Argos only.
| Position | Toronto Argonauts |
|---|---|
| QB | Chad Kelly, Nick Arbuckle, Tucker Horn |
| RB | Isaiah Smith, Qualan Jones |
| FB | Sebastian Parsalidis |
| WR (Boundary) | Tristan Ready, Damonte Coxie |
| WR (Field) | David Ungerer III |
| SB (Boundary) | Tyler Kahmann |
| SB (Field) | Dymere Miller, Janarion Grant |
| LT | Desmond Bland |
| LG | Ryan Hunter |
| C | Peter Nicastro, Chris Kolankowski |
| RG | Dakoda Shepley, Frank Vreugdenhil |
| RT | Kendall Randolph |
| DE | Da'Marcus Johnson / Shawn Lemon, Gabriel Maisonneuve / Jonathan Kongbo |
| DT | DeWayne Hendrix / Sonae Toia, Paris Shand / Ralph Holley |
| LB | Brian Harelimana / Alex Teubner, Jordan Herdman-Reed / Darius McKenzie, Derek Slywka / Adarius Pickett |
| CB | Benjie Franklin, Louis-Philippe Gauthier / Tarvarus McFadden |
| HB | James Ceasar, Ethan John / DaShaun Amos |
| S | Bubba Bolden |
| K/P | Lirim Hajrullahu, James Burnip |
| LS | Adam Guillemette |
Score Prediction
Toronto Argonauts 30 - Edmonton Elks 32. This one goes down to the wire, and the total number backs that up — Edmonton's four-game roll and Ford-led defense edge out an Argos offense that's finally clicking behind Kelly's arm, but Toronto's home mojo at BMO Field keeps this from turning into another Week 11-style blowout.
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Who takes this one? Drop your prediction in the comments.