Toronto Argonauts (2-1) Week 5 Preview vs Calgary Stampeders (1-2): Prediction, Depth Chart, Injuries, Odds

Mark Perry
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Toronto Argonauts (2-1) Week 5 Preview vs Calgary Stampeders (1-2): Prediction, Depth Chart, Injuries, Odds
Photo: CFL.ca

The Toronto Argonauts ride a two-game winning streak into McMahon Stadium Thursday night, where a hungry Calgary Stampeders squad is looking to prove their Week 4 bounce-back was the real deal.

Game Details

  • Matchup: Toronto Argonauts at Calgary Stampeders

  • When: Thursday, July 2, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET

  • Where: McMahon Stadium, Calgary, AB

  • TV: TSN

  • Stream: Watch live on CFL+

Odds

  • Spread: Calgary Stampeders -1

  • Moneyline: Toronto Argonauts +102, Calgary Stampeders -122

  • Over/Under: 60

Toronto is 2-1 ATS with three overs and zero unders on the season — the offence has gone over in every game. Calgary sits at 1-1-1 ATS, also three overs and zero unders. With both teams trending over and a total set at 60, the scoring environment is very much in play Thursday night.

Overview

Toronto enters this one with real momentum. Back-to-back wins — a 44-24 dismantling of Ottawa in Week 3 followed by a 40-34 road escape at Mosaic Stadium in Week 4 — have the Argos sitting at 2-1 and firmly in the upper half of the CFL Standings. Chad Kelly has been one of the most productive quarterbacks in the league, and the offence has found its rhythm. The lone blemish was a 37-30 loss to Montreal in Week 2, a game where the Alouettes led by double digits for stretches. Since then, Toronto hasn't lost.

Calgary is a different team than the one that opened the season 0-2. The Stampeders got their first win of the year in Week 4 with a 41-33 road victory over the BC Lions, and it wasn't just the result that matters — it was how they got there. Vernon Adams Jr. quietly notched his 50th career win as a starter, the defence registered four sacks, and the special teams unit had a monster night including a 57-yard field goal. That's a complete team performance. Still, at 1-2, Calgary is behind the pace in the West and can't afford another slip. Home field at McMahon matters here, hence the one-point line favouring the Stamps.

This is about as coin-flip as it gets on paper, and the market agrees — Toronto's moneyline sits at +102, meaning a bet on the Argos pays better than even money. The edge Toronto has is continuity and confidence. Kelly and his receivers have chemistry, the defence has been generating turnovers, and the team hasn't been rattled in tough road environments this season. Calgary's defence will need a big night from Clarence Hicks up front to disrupt that rhythm. Slight edge to Toronto, but McMahon is not a comfortable place to play.

Key Players

  • Chad Kelly (Toronto Argonauts, QB) — Kelly leads the Argos with 1,190 passing yards, 9 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions through three games, and he torched Saskatchewan for a crucial road win in Week 4.

  • Tyler Kahmann (Toronto Argonauts, WR/SB) — Kahmann hauled in two touchdowns against Saskatchewan last week and has been Kelly's most dangerous weapon in the red zone.

  • Kevin Mital (Toronto Argonauts, WR/SB) — Mital leads Toronto's receivers with 17 catches for 325 yards and a touchdown, giving the Argos a reliable chain-mover in the intermediate game.

  • Vernon Adams Jr. (Calgary Stampeders, QB) — Adams Jr. hit the milestone of 50 career wins as a starter in Week 4 and is the engine that makes Calgary's offence go — controlling him is job one for Toronto's defence.

  • Dedrick Mills (Calgary Stampeders, RB) — Mills leads Calgary's ground game with 273 yards on 45 carries and will be central to the Stampeders' plan to keep Kelly off the field and control the clock.

  • Jonathan Kongbo (Toronto Argonauts, DE) — Kongbo leads the Argos in sacks and will be tasked with getting into Adams Jr.'s face off the edge — his ability to generate pressure could be the difference.

Keys to the Game

  • Kelly needs to protect the football — his 6 interceptions are the one blemish on an otherwise excellent start, and Calgary's secondary, led by Zy Alexander, will be hunting for picks in a loud McMahon Stadium.

  • Toronto's linebackers and defensive front must contain Dedrick Mills on the ground — if Calgary can run the ball effectively, they will shorten the game and keep the Argos' high-octane offence on the sideline.

  • Special teams could decide this one — Lirim Hajrullahu has been automatic for Toronto, and with an over/under of 60 suggesting a close final score, field position and kicking game execution will be at a premium late in the fourth quarter.

Injury Report

Player

Team

Position

Injury

Status

DeWayne Hendrix

Toronto Argonauts

DL

Hamstring

Available

Ethan John

Toronto Argonauts

DB

Ankle

Available

Dakoda Shepley

Toronto Argonauts

OL

Back

Questionable

Alexander Teubner

Toronto Argonauts

DB

Hamstring

Out

The most notable transaction heading into this game is Shepley's move to the six-game injury list (back) — Gavin Coakes has been activated from the practice roster to fill the void on the offensive line. Alexander Teubner is also out, while both Hendrix and Ethan John practiced fully and are good to go.

Depth Chart

Toronto Argonauts projected starters by position, built from the official Week 5 depth chart. This table is for the Toronto Argonauts only.

Position

Starter

Backup(s)

QB

Chad Kelly

Nick Arbuckle, Tucker Horn

RB

Samuel Hicks

Isaiah Smith

FB

Jack Cassar

Sebastian Parsalidis

WR (Boundary)

Damonte Coxie

WR (Field)

Dave Ungerer III

SB

Makai Polk, Kevin Mital, Tyler Kahmann

Janarion Grant

LT

Desmond Bland

LG

Ryan Hunter

C

Domenico Piazza

Gavin Coakes

RG

Peter Nicastro

Anim Dankwah

RT

Brandon Kemp

DE (Boundary)

Da'Marcus Johnson

Andrew Chatfield

DT

Jalen Bell

Sonae Toia

DT

Paris Shand

Ralph Holley

DE (Field)

Jeremiah Ojo

Jonathan Kongbo

LB (Boundary)

Owen Goss

Cameron Judge

LB (Middle)

Darius McKenzie

Brian Harelimana, Isaac Darkangelo

LB (Field)

Derek Slywka

Adarius Pickett

CB (Boundary)

Benjie Franklin

James Ceasar

CB (Field)

Tarvarus McFadden

Louis-Philippe Gauthier

S

Ethan John

Anthony Wilson

HB (Boundary)

James Ceasar

HB (Field)

DaShaun Amos

K/P

Lirim Hajrullahu

John Haggerty

LS

Adam Guillemette

Score Prediction

Toronto Argonauts 32 - Calgary Stampeders 29.

CFL Standings | Full Schedule | League Leaders

Who takes this one? Drop your prediction in the comments.

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